TECHNOLOGIQUE

A Global Journal on Technological Developments and Scientific Innovations
ISSN Online: 3028-1415 | Print: 3028-1407

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Article credentials

Original Research

IndiGenius Mart: AI-Based Crop Price Forecasting for Indigenous Farmers Using Time-Series and Ensemble Learning

Technologique: A Global Journal on Technological Developments and Scientific Innovations

ISSN Online: 3028-1415 | Print: 3028-1407

Volume 7 | Issue 1 | 2026 | 225 – 244

Edriane E. Nacin1, ORCID No. 0009-0007-9126-4077

Aleta C. Fabregas2, DIT, ORCID No. 0000-0003-4983-9985

1Master of Science in Information Technology, Polytechnic University of the Philippines, Manila, Philippines
2Chief, Center for Computing & Information Sciences Research, Polytechnic University of the Philippines, Manila, Philippines

Article History:

Initial submission: 16 March 2026
First decision: 20 March 2026
Revision received: 18 April 2026
Accepted for publication: 20 April 2026
Online release: 25 April 2026

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Abstract

Indigenous farmers often face challenges in determining fair prices for agricultural commodities due to limited access to timely and reliable market information, weakening their bargaining power and income stability. In this study, we aimed to: (1) identify challenges facing indigenous farmers when determining accurate prices for agricultural commodities, (2) determine how the features of IndiGenius Mart address these issues, and (3) evaluate the acceptability of the proposed system based on the ISO/IEC 25010 software quality model in terms of functional suitability, performance efficiency, usability, reliability, and portability. We conducted a questionnaire survey among 50 indigenous farmers using purposive sampling. Results indicated a strong consensus (weighted mean = 4.47) that inadequate price information leads to unfair pricing, financial losses, and inefficient selling schedules. To address these concerns, we developed the IndiGenius Mart, an Al-based, offline-capable mobile application for crop price forecasting that integrates time-series analysis and ensemble machine learning models. The model achieved a high coefficient of determination (R2 = 0.982) and demonstrated consistent prediction accuracy on unseen data (96-98%). Reliability analysis showed excellent internal consistency (Cronbach’s a = 0.93-0.96; overall a = 0.95). System evaluation yielded acceptable ratings across all ISO/IEC 25010 criteria, with a weighted overall mean of 3.90 (SD = 0.29), interpreted as Acceptable. We conclude that accessible and localized Al-driven crop price forecasting tools enhance price transparency and improve decision-making among indigenous farmers, consistent with prior data-driven agriculture studies. Future research should focus on expanding localized datasets and evaluating long-term real-world deployment across diverse regions.

Keywords: Indigenous farmers, crop price forecasting, ensemble learning, time-series analysis, machine learning, agricultural markets, ISO/IEC 25010, decision support system

Cite this article

APA (7th edition)

Nacin, E. E., & Fabregas, A. C. (2026). IndiGenius Mart: AI-based crop price forecasting for indigenous farmers using time-series and ensemble learning. Technologique: A Global Journal on Technological Developments and Scientific Innovations, 7(1), 225–244. https://doi.org/10.62718/vmca.tech-gjtdsi.7.1.SC-0326-009.

Author contributions

Edriane E. Nacin: Conceptualization, Data curation, Formal analysis, Investigation, Methodology, Project administration, Resources, Software, Validation, Visualization, Writing – original draft, Writing – review & editing
Aleta C. Fabregas: Supervision (Thesis Adviser)

Funding

This research received no external funding.

Conflict of interest

This research received no specific grant from any funding agency in the public, commercial, or not-for-profit sectors. However, the first author received educational support from the Department of Science and Technology’s Science Education Institute (DOST-SEI), Philippines, through the Science and Technology Regional Alliance of Universities for National Development (STRAND) Scholarship Program. The scholarship support did not influence the design, analysis, or interpretation of the study. The first author received educational support from the Department of Science and Technology’s Science Education Institute (DOST-SEI), Philippines, through the Science and Technology Regional Alliance of Universities for National Development (STRAND) Scholarship Program. This support was provided as part of the author’s graduate scholarship and assisted in the completion of the study. The funding body has no role in the design of the study, data collection, analysis, interpretation of results, preparation of the manuscript, or the decision to publish findings.

Institutional ethics review statement

Ethical approval was obtained from the Polytechnic University of the Philippines, with Reference Code No. 2025-116.

Data availability statement

The datasets generated and/or analyzed during the current study are available in the World Food Programme with URL https://www.wfp.org/

Declaration of generative AI use/assistance

Al-assisted language editing was performed using Grammarly and GPT; authors reviewed and approved all contents.

Acknowledgement

The authors would like to express their sincere gratitude to the Department of Science and Technology – Science Education Institute (DOST-SEI), Philippines, for the financial support provided through the Science and Technology Regional Alliance of Universities for National Development (STRAND) Scholarship Program. This support significantly contributed to the successful completion of this research and the development of the IndiGenius Mart forecasting system.

The authors also extend their heartfelt appreciation to the Samahang Katutubo ng Cadmang Farmers Association for their participation and cooperation as respondents in this study. Their valuable insights and willingness to share their experiences greatly contributed to the identification of challenges faced by indigenous farmers in determining agricultural commodity prices and to the evaluation of the developed system.

Publisher’s disclaimer

The views expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the publisher. The publisher disclaims any responsibility for errors or omissions.

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