

Article History
Received: 25 December 2024
Accepted: 28 December 2024
Published: 20 January 2025
Volume 4, Issue No. 1, 1st Quarter 2025, pp. 1 - 15
Predicting Anti-Coastal Reclamation Engagement: A Logistic Regression Analysis of Philippine Mainline Protestant Church-Members in Bacolod City
Author:
Jericho A. Trio
Abstract:
The Banago Coastal Reclamation Project is a 247-hectare reclamation initiative in Bacolod City, Negros
Occidental. Proposed in August 2022, it is predicted to displace 6,000 families and damage surrounding
mangrove ecosystems lining up coastlines of Banago, Bacolod. The political engagement of religious actors
participating in anti-coastal reclamation movements has been evident in opposing such project, particularly in
alliance-networks of mainline Protestant churches present in the area. In mainline Protestantism, the discourse
on political participation involves integrating the practice of evangelism on the principles of social justice and
ecological well-being. The focus of this study hinged on identifying the odds of political participation amongst
mainline Protestant church-members in anti-coastal reclamation movements using logistic regression
analysis. The study is only limited in exploring increments of political participation on five (5) Bacolod mainline
Protestant churches – the Convention of Philippine Baptist Churches, United Church of Christ in the Philippines,
United Methodist Church, Philippine Independent Church and the Salvation Army. The assumed predictor
variables are personal resources, political motivational factors, group membership and demographic proximity.
The logit model suggests church doctrinal stance (under the category of political motivation factors) is the only
predictor which expresses a significant parameter for comparing the Political Participation with “Yes” response
versus the Political Participation group with “No” response. A one-unit increase in the said predictor is
associated with a 1.719 increase in the relative log odds for a mainline Protestant church-member to participate
(or not participate) in anti-coastal reclamation movements.
Keywords: logistic regression analysis, mainline Protestant, political participation, environmental citizenship
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