Initial submission: 26 December 2025 First decision: 28 December 2025 Revision received: 30 January 2026 Accepted for publication: 03 February 2026 Online release: 07 February 2026
Jericho A. Trio, Patricia Mae M. Clarino, Chris C. Guevarra
Abstract:
The Manila Sea Catfish (Arius manillensis), or Kanduli, an endemic benthopelagic species in Luzon, faces severe
threats in Sampaloc Lake, Philippines due to lentic overturn events. In Sampaloc Lake, San Pablo City, the
Kanduli’s survival is increasingly compromised by lake turnover events driven by the breakdown of thermal
stratification. This study analyzes the economic viability of interventions designed to mitigate the anoxic
conditions resulting from the mixing of the oxygen-depleted hypolimnion with the surface epilimnion. A Benefit-
Cost Analysis (BCA) was conducted on three distinct intervention scenarios: (i) diffused aeration (reactive), (ii)
destratification mixers (preventive), and (iii) lake restoration (nature-based). The economic evaluation reveals
that Intervention 2 (destratification mixers) is the dominant strategy, yielding a Benefit-Cost Ratio (BCR) of 5.45
and an Internal Rate of Return (IRR) of 58.4%. This preventive measure addresses the root cause of anoxia,
offering Pareto-efficient outcomes that benefit both fishery yields and the tourism sector by mitigating hydrogen
sulfide odors. In contrast, diffused aeration proved only marginally viable (BCR 1.18; IRR 7.7%), functioning
primarily as a short-term insurance policy against fishkill rather than a sustainable economic driver. Lake
restoration demonstrated strong efficiency with a BCR of 2.69. The study recommends a hybrid economic
approach framed through Pigovian principles. It proposes that the surplus value generated by the economically
strategic destratification mixers be utilized to fund the public goods associated with lake restoration, such as
native littoral flora conservation. This creates a closed-loop system where economic utility supports ecological
preservation.
Keywords: economic viability, lake interventions, ariid catfish, Kanduli, benefit-cost analysis, fishkill, Sampaloc
Lake
1. Journal Description 2. Select Journal a. Declaration of Originality b. Select the Journal c. Paper Formatting d. Initial Manuscript Submission e. Peer Review Process f. Manuscript Revision g. Editing Services h. Final Manuscript Submission i. Acknowledgement to Publish j. Copyright Matters k. Inhouse Publication